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500 Chances of £500

The Prize Guy · Closed — historical listing

Entries are closed. The scheduled closing time was 23 Sep, 23:45. Figures below are our last saved observations, not verified final sales or results.

500 Chances of £500

AI Score 76/100 · at last calculation

Current Value Ratio
0.15×
Sellout Value Ratio
4.24×
Estimated prize value
£118,055.56
Ticket price
£0.20

91,262 / 2,500,000 sold · 3.7%

85% below prize value. This is not verified operating profit or loss.

Source Updated 123h ago. Metrics calculated 23 Sep 2026 23:36:36 BST.

View original listing ↗

Why this AI score?

Metrics calculated 23 Sep 2026 23:36:36 BST. Ticket sales and timing may have changed since this refresh.

Saved prize estimate. Ticket discounts do not change the estimated prize value.

Revenue coverage near closing 40% weight100/100
Time-adjusted value per entry 20% weight100/100
Value at sell-out 20% weight29/100
Ticket affordability 10% weight96/100
Entry-pool size 10% weight9/100

Current ticket revenue less estimated prize: −£99,803.16. Based on tickets sold × current ticket price. Discounts, free entries and actual prize costs are unknown; this is not verified profit or loss.

The entry-pool component uses a time-adjusted sales scenario, not final winning odds.

Observed ticket sales

Latest 30 recorded observations. Sampling and gaps mean these are not a continuous record of every sale.

Observed (UK)Sold / totalTicket pricePrize value used
23 Sep 2026 17:43:12 BST91262 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
23 Sep 2026 11:07:11 BST75737 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
23 Sep 2026 10:33:14 BST74263 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
23 Sep 2026 10:26:14 BST74246 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
23 Sep 2026 09:56:16 BST72752 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
23 Sep 2026 09:25:13 BST72424 / 2500000£0.20£116,758.24Estimated
23 Sep 2026 08:38:48 BST71423 / 2500000£0.20£116,758.24Estimated
22 Sep 2026 22:29:17 BST66523 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 21:31:05 BST65952 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 20:45:30 BST65605 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 20:02:56 BST65141 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 18:57:51 BST64343 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 18:08:44 BST63254 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 16:34:29 BST63085 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 15:47:12 BST62761 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 15:01:24 BST62230 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 14:17:16 BST61931 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 13:33:23 BST61698 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 12:50:24 BST61272 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 12:06:37 BST61099 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 11:23:01 BST61088 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
22 Sep 2026 11:10:26 BST61083 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 23:40:19 BST60982 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 23:01:32 BST60976 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 22:25:45 BST60966 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 21:56:19 BST60840 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 21:20:03 BST60808 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 20:35:07 BST60330 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 17:21:55 BST58092 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 16:46:25 BST58091 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated