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THE LARGE ONE – PICK A LEGO SET #139

Collie Competitions · Closes 28 Oct, 19:00

THE LARGE ONE – PICK A LEGO SET #139

AI Score 30/100 · at last calculation

Current Value Ratio
0.70×
Sellout Value Ratio
2.50×
Estimated prize value
£240
Ticket price
£5.99

28 / 100 sold · 28.0%

30% below prize value. This is not verified operating profit or loss.

Source Updated 1h ago. Metrics calculated 23 Oct 2026 19:45:18 BST.

Check entry details at provider ↗
Prize details from Collie Competitions

LEGO COMPETITION – THE LARGE ONE! Winner Picks a Set This competition is guaranteed to be drawn, whether we sell out or not. Get a chance to win and pick ONE of the following; 🦉 Hogwarts Icons Collectors’ Edition: #76391 🎮 Nintendo Entertainment System: #71374 🏴‍☠️ The Black Pearl: #10365 🏰 Disney Main Street, U.S.A.: #43302 🧙‍♂️ The Mines of Moria: #9473 🏖️ Italian Riviera: #21359 👫 The Friends Apartments: #10292 🌌 Mos Eisley Cantina: #75290 🏠 Home Alone: #21330 🏛️ Natural History Museum: #10326 🌿 The Botanical Garden: #21353 🏘️ Bookshop: #10270 🎣 Old Fishing Store: #21310 🚢 River Steamboat: #21356 🏎️ Ferrari Daytona SP3: #42143 ☠️ The Goonies: #21363 🚀 Republic Gunship: #75309 🌳 Tree House: #21318 🦇 Arkham Asylum: #76300 🎠 Carousel: #10257 🚜 Volvo EC500 Hybrid Excavator: #42215 🖖 Star Trek: U.S.S. Enterprise NCC-1701-D™: #10356 🏙️ Assembly Square: #10255 🏚️ Haunted House: #10273 🚁 The Avengers Helicarrier: #76295 🚗 LEGO Technic Bugatti Chiron: #42083 🏎️ McLaren P1: #42172 🦇 Batman Tumbler: #76240 🏰 Hogwarts Hogsmeade 🕷️ Sanctum Sanctorum: #76218 Stranger Things Creel House 🚀 Jango Fett’s Firespray-Class Starship: #75409

Details recorded from the provider. Check its listing for current specifications and entry conditions.

How the estimated prize value is calculated

Market median of 200 completed competitions. Measured median: 2.00×. We reduce the implied prize value by 20% as a safety buffer.

Initial estimated Sellout Value Ratio: 2.50×. Original sellout revenue ÷ 2.50 = saved prize estimate. This is an assumption, not a provider-listed value. Discounts can change today's Sellout Value Ratio without changing this estimate.

Why this AI score?

Metrics calculated 23 Oct 2026 19:45:18 BST. Ticket sales and timing may have changed since this refresh.

Saved prize estimate: based on the original ticket price and ticket pool. Ticket discounts do not change the estimated prize value.

Revenue coverage near closing 40% weight0/100
Time-adjusted value per entry 20% weight47/100
Value at sell-out 20% weight43/100
Ticket affordability 10% weight45/100
Entry-pool size 10% weight77/100

Current ticket revenue less estimated prize: −£71.88. Based on tickets sold × current ticket price. Discounts, free entries and actual prize costs are unknown; this is not verified profit or loss.

The entry-pool component uses a time-adjusted sales scenario, not final winning odds.

Observed ticket sales

Recorded observations only. Amber dots mark ticket-price changes. Gaps over two hours are left unjoined; sales between observations are unknown. Times are UK local time.

Latest 1 recorded observations. Sampling and gaps mean these are not a continuous record of every sale.

Observed (UK)Sold / totalTicket pricePrize value used
23 Oct 2026 19:45:20 BST28 / 100£5.99£239.60Estimated