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500 Litres of Home Heating Oil #53

Lucky Day · Closes 17 Nov, 23:00

500 Litres of Home Heating Oil #53

AI Score 30/100 · at last calculation

Current Value Ratio
0.06×
Sellout Value Ratio
2.57× est.Based on the market median.
Estimated prize value
£530
Ticket price
£1.97

16 / 697 sold · 2.3%

94% below prize value. This is not verified operating profit or loss.

Source Updated 3h ago. Metrics calculated 03 Nov 2026 18:52:13 GMT.

Check entry details at provider ↗
Prize details from Lucky Day

🔥 Stay Warm All Winter! WIN 500 Litres of Home Heating Oil!   Experience the comfort of a cozy, warm home with the chance to win: 500 litres of home heating oil Convenient delivery to your doorstep No worries about a hefty heating oil bill Enter now for the opportunity to stay snug throughout the colder months. Embrace the warmth and peace of mind! 🏠🔥

Details recorded from the provider. Check its listing for current specifications and entry conditions.

Minimum purchase: 1 tickets.

How the estimated prize value is calculated

Market median of 200 completed competitions. Measured median: 2.06×. We reduce the implied prize value by 20% as a safety buffer.

Initial estimated Sellout Value Ratio: 2.57×. Original sellout revenue ÷ 2.57 = saved prize estimate. This is an assumption, not a provider-listed value. Discounts can change today's Sellout Value Ratio without changing this estimate.

Why this AI score?

Metrics calculated 03 Nov 2026 18:52:13 GMT. Ticket sales and timing may have changed since this refresh.

Saved prize estimate: based on the original ticket price and ticket pool. Ticket discounts do not change the estimated prize value.

Revenue coverage near closing 40% weight0/100
Time-adjusted value per entry 20% weight44/100
Value at sell-out 20% weight42/100
Ticket affordability 10% weight72/100
Entry-pool size 10% weight55/100

Current ticket revenue less estimated prize: −£501.80. Based on tickets sold × current ticket price. Discounts, free entries and actual prize costs are unknown; this is not verified profit or loss.

The entry-pool component uses a time-adjusted sales scenario, not final winning odds.

Observed ticket sales

Recorded observations only. Amber dots mark ticket-price changes. Gaps over two hours are left unjoined; sales between observations are unknown. Times are UK local time.

Latest 1 recorded observations. Sampling and gaps mean these are not a continuous record of every sale.

Observed (UK)Sold / totalTicket pricePrize value used
03 Nov 2026 18:52:31 GMT16 / 697£1.97£533.32Estimated